Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.536736e-04 0.001094 0.001236 0.001391 0.001553 0.001717 0.001897
2025-06-29 7.469091e-04 0.000947 0.001158 0.001393 0.001648 0.001912 0.002207
2025-07-06 6.487984e-04 0.000900 0.001173 0.001486 0.001831 0.002196 0.002606
2025-07-13 4.942218e-04 0.000772 0.001087 0.001458 0.001877 0.002325 0.002838
2025-07-20 3.515552e-04 0.000640 0.000982 0.001400 0.001881 0.002405 0.003010
2025-07-27 2.829780e-04 0.000588 0.000966 0.001438 0.001988 0.002594 0.003301
2025-08-03 2.040629e-04 0.000511 0.000911 0.001424 0.002032 0.002711 0.003508
2025-08-10 1.170386e-04 0.000403 0.000807 0.001344 0.001995 0.002731 0.003604
2025-08-17 6.592927e-05 0.000334 0.000747 0.001312 0.002010 0.002807 0.003759
2025-08-24 2.042363e-05 0.000249 0.000652 0.001231 0.001961 0.002806 0.003824
2025-08-31 3.915025e-06 0.000206 0.000612 0.001215 0.001989 0.002892 0.003987
2025-09-07 1.714294e-08 0.000186 0.000607 0.001244 0.002069 0.003038 0.004217
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000131 0.000546 0.001212 0.002094 0.003144 0.004431
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000096 0.000514 0.001219 0.002170 0.003312 0.004720
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000093 0.000541 0.001310 0.002354 0.003612 0.005165
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000056 0.000490 0.001285 0.002389 0.003732 0.005401
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000023 0.000424 0.001232 0.002383 0.003800 0.005575
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000014 0.000417 0.001268 0.002493 0.004011 0.005916
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000003 0.000382 0.001255 0.002538 0.004138 0.006158
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000313 0.001180 0.002494 0.004156 0.006267
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000274 0.001150 0.002509 0.004243 0.006459
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000214 0.001073 0.002455 0.004243 0.006542
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000189 0.001059 0.002488 0.004350 0.006754